step backward for uncertainty

Reuters reports that six Italian earthquake scientists have been jailed for manslaughter for "failing to give adequate warning of the 2009 earthquake in the city of L'Aquila."

Prediction of events with some component of randomness is necessarily uncertain—to think otherwise is to misunderstand the whole endeavor. The fault here is not with the scientists, for predicting incorrectly, but with the public for believing this prediction came with certainty. To suppress predictors of random events for predicting incorrectly is to court ignorance and block progress, as it discourages the very research which will one day improve our ability to predict such events.

real-life villains

In the "real world," a villain does not dress all in black; he does not proclaim his villainy with his fashion or his mannerisms. Likewise, he is not motivated by one-dimensional drives to evil and cruelty. He does not crouch in a dark cave plotting the torment of innocents for its own sake. No, the real-life villain sees himself a hero; his actions are motivated in the righteousness of his own imaginings. He, no less because he is a villain, is a paragon of his own standards of virtue. The wise man says: our certainty of our own righteousness is no guarantee that we are free from villainy.